Scientist · Author · Speaker

Climate and nature futures — with realism and hope

How our food, energy and economic systems can change fast enough to avoid the worst of the climate crisis — told through evidence, honesty about the risks, and clarity about where real progress is already happening.

British Academy Global Professor, Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford

Visiting Professor, Institute of Environmental Sciences (CML), Leiden University

Senior Research Fellow, Wellbeing Research Centre, University of Oxford

Frontiers Planet Prize International Champion, 2023

Paul Behrens speaking on stage
The Best of Times, The Worst of Times — book cover

The Best of Times, The Worst of Times

Futures from the frontiers of climate science, told in paired chapters of pessimism and hope. The Indigo Press, 2020.

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Food and Sustainability — book cover

Food and Sustainability

The interdisciplinary textbook, edited and co-authored. Oxford University Press, 2020.

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Latest research

All research →
High-resolution carbon and biodiversity mapping shows correlated losses across space and agricultural productsNature Food · 2026High-resolution carbon and biodiversity mapping shows correlated losses across space and agricultural productsMaps long-term carbon and biodiversity losses from agricultural land use worldwide, showing two-thirds of losses fall in one-third of the area and that… From Gigabytes to Gigatons: China’s Data Centers and Their Carbon Footprint from 2006 to 2050Environmental Science & Technology · 2026From Gigabytes to Gigatons: China’s Data Centers and Their Carbon Footprint from 2006 to 2050Maps China's data centres within the national electricity grid, finding their power use rose from 5.4 to 157.4 TWh between 2006 and 2023 as emissions reached… Dietary environmental impacts and quality differ by socio-demographic characteristicsNature Food · 2026Dietary environmental impacts and quality differ by socio-demographic characteristicsMaps the climate, water and land footprints of diets in 165 countries, finding healthier diets consistently have lower impacts. Vertical farming economics: crop performance targets for cost-competitive vertical farmingFrontiers in Sustainable Food Systems · 2026Vertical farming economics: crop performance targets for cost-competitive vertical farmingVertical-farmed lettuce can already undercut Dutch greenhouse costs; tomatoes still need faster cycles and better light-use efficiency. Small-scale farmers critical to curbing deforestation linked to forest-risk commoditiesEnvironmental Research Letters · 2026Small-scale farmers critical to curbing deforestation linked to forest-risk commoditiesShows that small farms under 2 ha account for most forest-linked production of EUDR-listed commodities (91% of rubber, 81% of palm oil, 53% of coffee, 60% of… Guidance on integrating marine environmental impacts of ocean alkalinity enhancement into life cycle assessmentThe International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment · 2026Guidance on integrating marine environmental impacts of ocean alkalinity enhancement into life cycle assessmentHow ocean alkalinity enhancement affects marine ecosystems, and why current life-cycle models capture it only partly.
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